Venezuela Retail September 2016


Contraction in car sales softens in September

Car sales recorded a sharp 56.4% contraction over the same month last year and totaled 271 units in September, according to figures from the Venezuelan Automotive Chamber (CAVENEZ, Cámara Automotriz de Venezuela). September’s reading represented a softer contraction than the 83.4% drop recorded in the previous month.

In the 12 months up to September, car sales reached just 7,349 units, which is the lowest print on record. September’s result represented a sharp 69.5% decline from the same period last (August: -69.6% year-on-year). Car sales currently total just a small fraction of the peak of 491,899 units recorded in calendar year 2007.

Given the limited availability of timely data for the real sector, analysts often use car sales as a proxy for private consumption. Panelists participating in the LatinFocus Consensus Forecast expect private consumption to decline 11.8% in 2016, which is down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month’s estimate. In 2017, the panel sees private consumption contracting 4.4%.

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Venezuela Retail Chart

Venezuela Retail September 2016

Note: Year-on-year variation and 12-month sum of domestic car sales in thousand units.
Source: Venezuelan Automobile Chamber (CAVENEZ).

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