United Kingdom PMI May 2016

United Kingdom

Manufacturing PMI improves slightly in May

The manufacturing Markit/CIPS Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) increased from 49.4 in April to 50.1 in May. April’s figure had marked the lowest level in over three years. As a result, the index is now resting slightly above the 50-threshold that separates expansion from contraction in business conditions. This is the first time the index has crossed the threshold since March 2013.

According to Markit/CIPS, May’s increase was mainly due to expansions in the consumer and intermediate goods sectors. Manufacturing jobs decreased for the fifth consecutive month, however, the reductions were milder compared to the previous month. Markit/CIPC analysts added that, ““Backlogs continued to drop and at the quickest pace for 38 months while purchasing activity slowed for a successive fourth month and firms held on to their cash. It is likely some manufacturers are maintaining a financial shield as a barrier against the uncertainties still affecting the sector, including those arising from the forthcoming EU referendum.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see fixed investment rising 4.0% in 2016, which is down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month’s estimate. For 2017, the panel expects fixed investment to increase 4.4%.

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United Kingdom PMI Chart

United Kingdom PMI May 2016

Note: Markit/CIPS United Kingdom Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity while a value below 50 points to a contraction.
Source: Markit and CIPS.

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