Costa Rica Inflation May 2016

Costa Rica

Consumer prices register another annual drop in May

Consumer prices increased 0.19% over the previous month in May, up from April’s 0.09% rise. According to the Statistical Institute, the result reflected increases in 6 of the 12 components of the index, with prices for transport registering the largest rise.

Consumer prices fell 0.4% in annual terms in May (April: -0.9% year-on-year). Meanwhile, the annual average change in prices fell from a 0.4% decrease in April to a 0.5% drop in May, thus reaching a new record low.

On 8 June, the Central Bank decided to decrease the Base Rate from 5.35% to 5.30%.The rate has followed a downward trend since February 2015 as inflationary pressures have remained subdued. However, the rate had stabilized around a range between 5.40% and 5.70% since late February 2016, before falling below 5.40% in May. The Base Rate, which constitutes the main reference rate for loans and investments, is calculated weekly by the Central Bank as a weighted average of the rates given for deposits by financial institutions for maturities of between 150 and 210 days. The Central Bank communicated that methodological changes for the calculation of the Base Rate were implemented in the first week of April. To avoid significant variations in the Base Rate, the Bank has integrated numerous mechanisms into the calculation to avoid discrepancies between the new and old methodology.

FocusEconomics panelists see inflation ending 2016 at 2.8%, which is unchanged from last month's forecast. In 2017, the panel sees year-end inflation at 4.2%.

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Costa Rica Inflation Chart

Costa Rica Inflation May 2016

Note: Annual and monthly variation of consumer price index in %.
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC).

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