In March, the consumer confidence index published by the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV, Fundacao Getulio Vargas) inched up a seasonally-adjusted 0.1% over the previous month, which contrasted the 1.7% decrease registered in February. The index remained virtually unchanged, edging up from the 107.1 points tallied in February-the lowest level since May 2009-to 107.2 points in March. March's result reflected that households' assessments of the current economic situation improved over the previous month, while consumers' expectations for the future of the economy did not change compared to February. The FGV confidence index spans a range of 1 to 200 points, where 100 points is considered neutral. While consumer confidence is still above the 100-point threshold indicating optimism, a virtually-uninterrupted downward trend has been in place since the index reached its peak in April 2012, which does not bode well for growth in private consumption going forward. LatinFocus Consensus Forecast participants expect private consumption to expand 2.0% in 2014, which is down 0.2 percentage points from last month's forecast. For 2015, panelists expect private consumption to increase 2.1%.
Brazil Consumer Confidence
Consumer confidence virtually unchanged at near-record low in March
March 26, 2014
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Brazil Consumer Confidence Chart
Note: Index of consumer sentiment (seasonally adjusted). The 100-point threshold represents the point above which consumers expect economic conditions to improve.
Source: Getulio Vargas Foundation.
Brazil Economic News
October 19, 2016
At its 19 October meeting, the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM, Comite de Politica Monetaria) decided to cut the benchmark SELIC interest rate for the first time in four years, lowering it from 14.25% to 14.00%.
October 18, 2016
Retail sales (excluding cars and construction) fell 0.6% in August from the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms.
October 7, 2016
Consumer prices in September increased 0.08% over the previous month, the lowest rise since July 2014.
October 4, 2016
In August, industrial production plunged 3.8% over the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms, which significantly contrasted the 0.1% expansion recorded in July and marked the worst result since January 2012.
October 3, 2016
The Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose slightly in September, increasing from August’s 45.7 to 46.0.