Argentina Inflation


Increase in consumer prices eases in April

Consumer prices increased 1.8% over the previous month in April according to the new inflation index elaborated by the National Statistics Institute (INDEC). The reading came in below the 2.6% increase recorded in the previous month and undershot market expectations of a 2.1% rise. That said, consumer prices have jumped 11.9% since the beginning of the year. The slight deceleration tallied in April mostly reflects smaller increases in prices for education, clothing and footwear as well as for housing. The new inflation index measures prices nationwide, whereas the previous readings were based solely on Buenos Aires and the surrounding metropolitan area. The new index was unveiled in February in hopes of restoring confidence in official inflation data and in response to the timeline that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) set in December 2013 requiring Argentina to release new GDP and inflation figures by March 2014. The previous inflation index was viewed with suspicion both within the country and abroad for underreporting inflation figures, which prompted the IMF to censure Argentina for not supplying accurate economic data. The new inflation figures, however, have not completely dispelled suspicions of underreporting, as the price increases the INDEC has reported are below local private analysts' independent estimates. According to the so-called “Congress Index” (IPC-Congreso), which is an alternative inflation gauge based on independent estimates that opposition lawmakers collect, consumer prices increased 2.8% in April over the previous month (March: +3.3% month-on-month) and annual inflation rose from 37.3% in March to 39.0% in April, marking the highest level since independent inflation records first began in June 2011.


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Argentina Inflation Chart

Argentina Inflation April 2014

Note: Annual and monthly var. of consumer price index in %.
Source: Argentina National Statistical Institute (INDEC).

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