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We poll the world's leading economists and compile over 1,600 individual macroeconomic forecasts to provide our clients with reliable data and analysis for 95 countries. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios.

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Latest Reports

  • December 23, 2014

    Falling oil prices and geopolitical tensions cloud the global economy 

    Global economic activity continues to moderate. In the third quarter of 2014, the world economy expanded 2.7% over the same quarter of the previous year, which marked a moderation compared to the 2.9% expansion recorded in the previous quarter. Most developed and emerging economies saw a slowdown, which was reflected in the third quarter result as a scenario of heightened geopolitical tensions and declining oil prices is eating into the growth potential of many economies. 

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  • January 20, 2015

    Growth picks up in Q3, but falling commodities prices pose challenge going forward

    Economic growth picked up pace in the third quarter in most of the economies in Latin America, according to more complete data. The regional GDP estimate showed that the economy expanded 0.6% annually (previously reported: +0.7% year-on-year), which marked an improvement over the meager 0.1% increase tallied in Q2. The economies of Bolivia, Mexico and Peru accelerated, while just three economies, Argentina, Brazil and Venezuela, contracted. In Latin America, the ongoing drop in oil prices has affected oil exporters such as Venezuela, while it has helped oil importers, such as Chile. The fall in oil prices is will also reduce the value of oil reserves in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. Moreover, as the production of commodities is significant in the region, the drop in prices for other products, including copper, grains and iron ore, will pose additional challenges for many Latin American economies.

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  • January 20, 2015

    Economic growth moderates in second half of 2014

    Growth in the first half of 2014 was healthy in most of the economies in Central America and the Caribbean, but more recent data show that momentum moderated in the second half of the year. GDP growth in Costa Rica was stable in Q3 at the 3.6% observed in Q2. The economy of the Dominican Republic expanded robustly in Q2, but economic activity decelerated notably in Q3. Meanwhile, the economies of El Salvador and Honduras moderated in the third quarter, after showing lackluster growth in the preceding period. Conversely, economic activity in Guatemala, one of the region’s key players, picked up momentum in the third quarter, while growth in Panama—Central America’s fastest economy—virtually maintained the pace that was observed in Q2.

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  • December 17, 2014

    Weak Q3 growth momentum carries into Q4

    Growth in most economies in the ex-Japan Asia region continued to slow in the third quarter, according to more complete data. The regional GDP increased 6.0% annually in the third quarter (Q2: 6.2% year-on-year), which represented the weakest growth since Q3 2012. More recent economic information suggests that growth will maintain virtually the same pace in the final quarter of 2014. Estimates for Q4 show that the region will expand 6.1%. 

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  • December 23, 2014

    Euro area expands in Q3, but recovery remains weak 

    The Euro area managed to eke out positive growth in the third quarter, despite a challenging external environment resulting from the tit-for-tat sanction escalation with Russia. The Euro area economy expanded a seasonally-adjusted 0.2% over the previous quarter, which overshot market expectations of a 0.1% expansion and marked a timid improvement over the 0.1% expansion recorded in Q2. The result was underlined by stronger domestic demand, while the external sector moderated compared to the second quarter. More recent indicators paint a subdued picture of fourth quarter developments. Industrial production slowed from a 0.5% seasonally-adjusted month-on-month expansion in September to 0.1% growth in October. In November, unemployment remained stable at the same level (11.5%) that was recorded in each of the previous two months. 

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  • January 13, 2015

    Ukrainian crisis continues to dampen growth

    Until a political solution to the crisis in Ukraine is found, the conflict will continue to have a dampening effect on production, business confidence and consumer sentiment across Eastern Europe. More complete data show that the region’s economies decelerated in the third quarter of last year. Regional GDP rose 1.3% year-on-year (previously reported: +1.5% year-on-year) and came in below the 1.5% increase registered in Q2. The result, which marked the slowest pace of growth since Q1 2013, was mainly dragged down by the deepening recession in Ukraine and a further contraction in Croatia. In Russia, the deceleration in Q3 GDP growth was less than expected, demonstrating resilience to geopolitical headwinds, while in Turkey economic activity cooled and reached a two-year low. Leading indicators for Russia suggest that the economy contracted in Q4, while more recent data for Turkey pointed to a further deceleration in the last quarter of 2014. 

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